Saturday, July 20, 2013

Chinas politburo should be afraid ....very afraid ..... "hitting the Wall" by tony fathead and friend

"there are two phases of growth."

" A first one where institutional reform is less relevant."

 "Success in this region is the result of good "policies" in contrast with the deep changes in institutions that are required later "

" economic reforms as opposed to institutional reforms"





"The second phase of growth takes countries beyond
the level of $10,000-$12,000 of income per capita. "


"It is in this second phase
when the correlation between institutions and income per capita
 becomes strong and positive."


" No rich country has weak institutions
so reform becomes a requirement to continue growing."



 "The Great Wall".
Antonio Fatas and Ilian Mihov

" Economies either climb the wall to become rich
 or they hit it
                    and get stuck."

" the former Soviet Union  collapsed after not being able to "go through" the Wall with its institutional setting"


" Venezuela  and Argentina  do not seem to be able to take their economies to the next step."