Tuesday, February 15, 2011

harmless assumption

the rationality of crowds ... is it's  mean value

is that about the assumption the new wave of ratexers/learners use ??

it really is a pure sim if you assume a mechanical reality
is the economy
ie the economy is  a model-able system
that can be discovered in the goodness of time
no matter how dynamical and fragile

i know saying a system is historical lacks sharp contours as a notion
but it seems harmless as an assumption

if we can interact with a system
 in performance improving ways
we can build a clinical science ....no ???

sterling example
macro effective demand
management :

enhancing "remedies"
like larger fiscal deficits
for too  high unemployment

zipping up
a  sluggish phase state
of a market based..for profit
 corporate dominated
 credit driven economy

why require more  then...

"hey look this  Rx  works !!":

at least
till we reach some impasse
where said  Rx is  no longer performing well
or is producing unacceptable side effects

again take schlock keynesianism

okay if we push too long and too  hard
with the  fiscal deficit measures
---vide the notorious 70's --

we need to improve our handling of
certain  side effects like ....wage push inflation

the above is all posted  to this humble  purpose :

maybe we don't need any more then a successful critique of rat ex models

perhaps we are not required to build a better mouse trap

if we can use doc keynes patent elixir to "cure " the ill


i guess i'm too in love with late goodwin for my own goodwin

but isn't this the essence
of
historical materialism
a causal system too complex to simulate adequately

but
again
complexity of causation as a claim doesn't have to mean
hayekian quiessence

not  macro policy wise

we can see the record plainly enough now
K school  macro policy works
and about as expected ...lots of times

...at least from a clearly defined class point of view
where more demand for labor is job one

what else  do we  need ??

the plague of idle-ness is past

the patients are back on their feet
producing widgets for mr plutonium