Saturday, April 30, 2011

simple observation # 137899

when an elected official or officials
claim they're "taking  effective action " to address  society wide problem n

most folks lack the quantitative framework  sense of scale etc
ie the informal loose  model to figure out
whether this action  has any chance  at effectiveness

any chance to make  a signifigant difference

this  mass  incapacity to evaluate a policy
can segment itself
     and still exist
simply by   operating with added octane  at a number of higher levels of relative citizen  sophistication

you get  the ascending  great chain of clown being 

in the end
 can we rely on the  ballot box
to provide  majoritarian self interets   feed back  to steer  policy

in short

does our  periodic duopoly choice mechanism work  for ...the people ???

forget about it

doe it even curb anti majoritarian state action ???

if that anti majoritarian state action is deemed  by policy circles
   to be crucial to  the sustemance of corporate hegemony

in a word

NYET !!!!!!


the biggest ignorance is of course about the global market structure
in products and funds
and the hegemonic role of  trans nat free range corporations

why even academic macro nauts like pk
one's that know better
refuse to isolate the MNC policy pov
before speculating on the motives behind apparently
                        "anti majoritarian  welfare "  in say .. cyclical macro policy
or tax and transfer modification

---------------

tedious maxim :


forget the struggle of the ideologians

as a first cut
take on
why this policy path might benefit a powerful policy bending group or class

example trap and stag


paine patent pending thesis :

no forex moves
no fast recovery of job markets
no adequate transfer system pay outs
for the planet's   major advanced  national market systems

stag - boom  contrasting absorption rates only 
to  adjustments  chronic imbalances in  cross  N/S hemi trade and fund flows

boom south stag north
this is better
for the medium and long run  as well as short run international corporate profits

and  if we face a trade off
more  international  business is  better  then  more inside advanced nation business 

because

corporate profit margins  are higher on cross border and overseas busimess

----------------
gedanken Rx... for enlightenment

find  opr build  an open macro model
with specified international firms IFs
with n bordered local market
give these  IFs pricing power and border crossing ability
 that allows  them  to capture 
what in under specified models
pass thru  as vague  "national gains from trade "
or at best
"national factor gains from trade "

then starting with a stylized "present structure  and condition " sim run
with each alternative policy path
then look for the IF profit  maxer  over the m periods


if you want to look at national factor effects of various policies kool
but must use  a well defined economic class
like the  IFs  "stockholders"
   or  greater refinement
like the national skill or  skill less gains

even a sim of   income gains ..changes
 to a simple unified labor factor has its virtues
despite submerged distributional complexity
so long as niche and positional  job rent receivers
 are removed first


crass mechanical  most dollars for us  determinism

is better then  a review and evaluation
  of class sponsored ideologians clashing by ....rights