Sunday, January 22, 2012

mgi tale of two structures






to sector total debt to gdp now :


US non fi corps  72 %

SPAIN non fi corps 134%

--nearly double--

(note comparative changes  2000-08  versus change since 2008)

households close
SPAIN 82%
US 87%

gub
SPAIN 71%

US 80%

spain has a  non fi corporate debt problem.... if any

but in addition note the opposite directions of  hi fi since crisis 08

US - 17 points



SPAIN + 8 points


  and  yet its the gub and the household sectors
 that are getting the squeeze in spain and US

gubs  since crisis have both  seen debt ratio rise

but
 Spain saw a  16 point  decline 2000-08
versus
 US increase in same period of 16 points

total move 2000 to now
Spain gub up 8 points
US gub up 35 points !
however neither has absolute gub debt ratio
                                that signals anthing like "trouble "