Saturday, May 26, 2012

more masonizing


  1. trying to make two points at once is dangerous

    but

    1) the relative national growth rate method of trade balance control is prefered by corporations
    2 ) its prefered by corporations
    because it preserves arbitrage gains


    -------------------------------------

    that in no way counters facts
    indeed the hegemony of this strategy produces these numbers

    if forex has a role its secondary its targeted and its most often about pumping and dumping selected emerging national currency zones

    ie enhancing dynamic corporate arbitrage games
    -------------------

    conttradictions among the corporations here ?

    certainly
    ---------------------------

    consequences over the time horizon:

    balancing trade
    without the use of forex policy
    can over a few cycles fantasically undermine
    a nation's industrial wage class
    (see rust bowl)

    in particular like a silent heart attack
    this undermining can proceed
    even with little or no trade deficits
    at least for a certain period
    --------------------

    btw
    the present btwo track global speedway
    with a yellow flag north and green flag south

    is a perfect example of corporate prefered rebalancing of trade
    without attacking the fundemental forex tilts
    -----------
    there you have it
    everything explained
    and no one acting irrationally ..once you know who calls the shots
    ReplyDelete
  2. http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/22/lets-all-devalue-against-each-other/

    the pk smoking gun

    its buried in sarcasm but
    here is pk saying

    well short term forex deval
    isn't able to push a fast recovery

    "...the answer is devaluation of the euro as a whole.
    Um, against whom?"

    " while I and others have been pushing for years for an end to Chinese currency manipulation, China is at this point (a) not looking very strong itself (b) just not that big in the world economy — not yet."

    major walk back that

    and his straw man argument
    is the euro against NA dollars and japan's yen
    he
    misses the rest of the EU ie britain sweden poland hungary etc
    and the oil states and the slavic belt and ....

    "More generally, Europe as a whole, like America, remains a relatively closed economy. Its salvation must be mainly internal."

    an amazing statement really

    as if america as he calls it isn't open enough to be effected by imperial dollar policy

    "Now, if devaluation is a code word to mean raising the inflation target, fine."

    no devaluation is a code word for crush cross currency trade arbitrage profiteering

    "
    Reply