Monday, October 22, 2012

paula versus dean

debate topic

 what if we had just let laputa sink to the bottom of the atlantic ?

paula
"heavens what a bigger mess we'd be in today"

dean
" we'd be right about where we are "


-------------------------------------------

the implied dean line:


separate the lot bubble pop
 from its hi fi laputa knock on effects and...?

somehow imagine we don't get the  knock on hi fi laputa market  effects

remove the spike

 


 we'd still have the lot plop though maybe its a slow slow  many many quarter plop


------------------------------------------------------------------------
notes to myself:

---an expectational  quantum shift convulsion ??---


---the repro market convulsion happens of course i guess ---


at any rate look at it in reverse:

without the underlying fast contraction of lot values

the fall 08 crisis might have proceeeded  like the dot com pop after math
 or  the after math of the earlier savings and loan blow out
ie
without the huge bash to  medium term  householder spending
  that the house lot hyper quick by lot dynamic standards
 ' pop and plop'  collateral  crash registered

in the after math of the lot melt down
underwater householders spending fueled by go go usury policy
could not resume

and since a first world north hemi wage boom was out of the question....