Monday, October 22, 2012
slow down ahead for han express?
"Using international data starting in 1957, we construct a sample of cases where fast-growing economies slow down."
" The evidence suggests that rapidly growing economies slow down significantly, in the sense that the growth rate downshifts by at least 2 percentage points, when their per capita incomes reach around $17,000 US in year-2005 constant international prices"
", a level that China should achieve by or soon after 2015."
" Among our more provocative findings is that growth slowdowns are more likely in countries that maintain undervalued real exchange rates"
all quotes from barry eichy et al