Tuesday, May 8, 2012

the costs of disinflation or why paul k plays so easily into my pink little fists

"the costs of disinflation"

this is related by  neo-voodoo-ists to price change expectations and the central bank

bogus claim

a CB with a history of relentless price change suppression
actually reduces the real  output and job time cost
   of  correcting   any inflationary blip-novick  moment

why ?

" the credibility effect "

because corporate price deciders "know"
   the CB will swiftly tighten policy to snuff any inflation flare up

seems as the story goes
price deciders   fear gun jumping  and  over pricing
and

lest they  find only sales losses
not maintained margins
cause  general price movements don't materialize

sooooo

 they  curb  their immediate price increases
 and this  by the thousands
given similar rational egoist decider unit reactions in each top limited liability chair
 
thus   expectations realize themselves to the extent  they are uniform
--- kinda like a tinker belle  wish fulfillment---
and by consequence
the intensity and duration of  any surprise  flare up is diminished
and with that also
  less real output and wage income is lost

disinflation short and effective

--------------------------

however ....
pk suggests theres no evidence
any such  "credibility effect"
actually exists out there in corporate heads

PK:
"price and wage setting — as opposed to bond market behavior — are mainly backward-looking, responding to inflation experience rather than attempts to read the central bank’s mind."


but its a nice story if you root for the board room oligarchs eh ?


and yet earlier in the same post
 our paul  pokes the ribs of gentle ben

for his  seeming
                 assimilation by the "borg"

that is the FED borg

now  if that is so pk
why are you suggesting
 FED only macronautics
just one post ahead ?

 at least once we're not in a  very rare  state called the liquidity trap ?

as in

"fiscal expansion is very specific to circumstance — it’s desirable
only when you’re in a liquidity trap"

otherwise its strictly

leave it to the fed ???



PAULLLLL

you just called the FED  a BORG ....nit wit !!!
and your right

THE FED IS A BORG








and this BORG gets its soft ware from wall street

and its discretionary instructions from the likes of this intense old gent





once again the macro poicy veto is in THE LIZARDS  hands

or  better
in the hands of the bond vigilantes

which alas pk still considers self constructed
voodoo dolls

recall this above

" as opposed to bond market behavior "

when it comes to debt bondage the cry is

"look forward  angels "
job tending mortals repare for a stymie