Wednesday, May 9, 2012

what went wrong with this prognosis ?

"The regime of the political business cycle would be an artificial restoration of the position as it existed in nineteenth-century capitalism. Full employment would be reached only at the top of the boom, but slumps would be relatively mild and short-lived.'

in particular:

"slumps .. relatively mild and short-lived."

unless this word relatively has some dynamic self adjustment rachet effect

this suggests eisenhower recessions ...right ?

but the reagan volcker dammerung ?

the present "great recesion"

 can we call these relatively mild ?

at least compared to the correct coresponding pre kalecki-keynes era slumps ?

i suggest kalecki and keynes wouldn't be shocked or even surprised much

once they got up to speed on the contemporary global  market and funds flow dynamics

in short

the end of bretton woods ended the  accuracy of the kalecki mid war  forecast