Friday, December 30, 2011

if all you want is a reduction in "real wages "....

devalue the US  dollar ...eh ?

the blunt fact this is NOT corporate class policy
                      suggests we need to look at the present stag for features
  unreached by a deval


  higher employment levels at lower real wages ???  what's not to like
or more carefully what's so wrong with the method of deval
that is let's ask
  why  this easy route to an obvious "corporate class "  goal
 gets trumped by the present  higher  unemployment and frozen  wages  route ???

if we had the correctly constructed
   corporate bottom line centered fleet of analytic models
the answer would pop right out

i belabor the rebalance without revalue method embodied in the stag by ...err hunch

yes cui bono is the ONLY road to enlightenment here

but what is the bellissimo parade route for this capitalist progress we're on
  from the pov of the top pilgrims ???

i have no model that "shows" in a stylized toy market  earth
 how our hegemonic MNCs
get a better path forward with stag then  planet wide deval/reval
with maintaining the existing set of exchange rates
with the existing north/ south  arbitrage producing tilt..more or less
with  continuing  the sacrifice of  zillions in potential output
  opportunity cost free output

yes why blow aded  global production opportunity even as real wages get adjusted
toward a  more balanced set of national trade flows

rough dirty simple minded first cut task
match two diferent trade flow paths
with their respective profit flow paths

we aren't able to get at the  firm by firm  expetational specifics
     ie the causal specifics  of  chosen macro policy here

i suggest we not assume lack of co ordination
part whole corporate class myopia

that a earth wide production planner "could " find a set of price and forex moves that would be a pareto class on class improvement
seems obvious but what's attainable in a system constrained to corporate persepective generated  preferences


if i could show  simple  obvious trumping

 like

"hey look !!
 the stag generates a higher  multi national corporate profit path then a reval/deval "

then i'd have something ...right ?

one can bang away at the soft left "explanation" piecemeal

we hear the left gible dee gooking away
  confident as a  flock of magpies

"  the executive suites want to grind down wage share etc etc"
and grinding requires  an artificial protraction of the presently  bloated reserve army
ie ultra scarcity of  net new job rations
that's what crushes  wage increases and accelerates one by one jobster class
self  recycling
   from tradeables production jobs as industrial operatives
  paid   high  unionized  wages  to  non tradeables sector jobs
 as low wage   mcshit servers

and of course  culivate such a job dirth helps
     the generation of  a new  "half price " industrial job force too

oh and use hard times to  shrink pub sec unionized payrolls too
with charter voucher  wipe outs
 take back  benefit slaughter  union busting  tactics ...

but hey that leads to resistence
is this trageted  resistence  socially less disturbing
then the disturbance a general rising trend  in the prices of tradeables
      might  generate  ???


yup
 we have to demonstrate how this grinding method works better
and err ....i haven't

   why is " the piigs stag and crunch crisis "
 better  for international corporate interests then an iceland  style deval