consider 27 million households
received $60 billion in tax credits through the EITC in '09
at $ 2 on average in subsidy an hour that's 30 billion hours
at 2000 hours per head that's what ?
15 million full time job equivalents
over 10 % of the job force
question
would low wages by higher without EITC ?
i very much doubt it
given the job rationing system we call the labor "market "
its an admission and expulsion system
set never to exhaust the supply of applicants even at the peak of a boom
however ...,,note well:
"The value of the EITC’s refundable tax credit varies according to a worker’s family income and size. In 2008, the maximum benefit per family was about $4,800 per year for a family with two or more children and a maximum income of about $39,000 per year. The benefit levels, however, vary substantially across family types. In the same year, the maximum EITC payment for a single person with no children, for example, was under $500 on a maximum eligible income of just under $13,000 per year.
12 If eligible for the maximum EITC, this same worker would have seen his or her annual earnings rise to about $12,720. This translates to about $6.36 per hour, or an EITC top-up of about $0.22 per hour, leaving this worker still only about half way to the low-wage threshold in 2008. To further complicate the calculations, if the same childless worker were in a family with another worker who earned more than about $1,000 per year, neither worker would be eligible for any EITC payment because they would exceed the family income limit for a childless family.
The EITC has the greatest impact on the earnings of low-wage, single parents with children. Eissa and Hoynes estimate that in 2004, the EITC raised the hourly earnings of a single, full-time, full-year minimum-wage worker with two children by about $1.90 per hour (relative to a minimum wage of $5.15 per hour in that year), and the wages of a similar worker with only one child by about $1.30 per hour.
13 In either case, the combination of the minimum wage and the EITC would still leave this worker below the low-wage threshold in that year. The EITC may also have a perverse impact on the wages of workers who do not qualify for the program.
Since the EITC significantly raises the after-tax wages of many eligible low-wage workers, the EITC effectively raises the labor supply for eligible workers, which may act to lower the before-tax wages paid by employers. The EITC more than compensates recipients for any decline in the wage employers paid, but a large share of low-wage workers, especially those without children or in families with other adults in work, experience only the supply-induced reduction in the hourly wage because they are not eligible for the EITC (or receive much smaller payments). "ONE estimate of lower wage off set :
".. the net result of these gains and losses for different types of workers is that an additional dollar spent on the EITC only raises after-tax wages by about 73 cents."
" ten percent increase in the EITC is associated with around a 3 to 4% fall in the wages of high school dropouts and a two percent fall in the wages of those with only a high school diploma."
hmmm
statistics damn statistics and econometrics !!!