Friday, June 22, 2012

an explicit policy rule with employment level and price level targets not inflation rate

we have to set both employment and price level guide lines

so  we build a paine rule

that sets explicit  job level targets   and a price level targets

level targets not rate targets
so far as i know
    the present so called  taylor rules are a disguised hybrid

an output level  target is of course implicit in the  NAIRU
its  an overt  function of  a dynamic path not of potential output
but of utilization in as much as employment  compared to potential emplyment
tracks the out put path


 of course it really ought to be based on an estimate of maximum  potential employment  but take the explicit form of a jobs path
a smart path that is an explicit algorithm

ie flexes with any trend changes

the policy response should be system state dependent ie
varying from top of the repressed spontaneous cycle to its bottom
in other words the policy response depends on the position of the system
   in "the channel"

by using an explicit smartpath
agents can work out sound varients
this is not inconsistency now
its consistent  dynamic rule following