Saturday, July 28, 2012

its banal but brief and sharp so...... i like it

"The only thing an econometrician can  estimate  is a  central bank's forecast errors"
nick rowe

uncle milty's thermostat:

"
The contrast between the periods before and after the middle of the 1980s is

remarkable. Before, it is like a chart of the temperature in a room without a

thermostat in a location with very variable climate; after, it is like the temperature

in the same room but with a reasonably good though not perfect thermostat, and

one that is set to a gradually declining temperature. Sometime around 1985, the Fed

appears to have acquired the thermostat that it had been seeking the whole of its

life."


he likes this choice piece of  product  price change  moderation
the famed great moderation  a tiresome banality
yes the run among north market economies
 1985 till now has featured milder fluxing  and slow changing product  prices
but is that  worth more
then the prior eras faster gains in real output units per unit of real input
and even more obvious wage stag versus wage rise ?
http://www.msjc.edu/DanPynn/Documents/TheFedsThermostat.pdf